← All conjectures · Byzantine book culture
One poet, stone and skin
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
“Anticipated in print” means the direction of this claim already appears in scholarship, while this exact test has never been run — it records prior art, not proof; nothing here counts as supported or falsified until a registered resolution says so.
Claim (verbatim)
Byzantium put dedicatory verse in two places: inside books, and on churches, icon frames, and fresco borders. This conjecture says the two markets shared one workforce: the rate of formula-sharing between book epigrams and dated inscriptional epigrams peaks exactly when church-building booms, because patrons commissioned poet, painter, and scribe as a single package for a single act of display. A poet busy on scaffolding recycled his lines into flyleaves the same season. If it holds, verse paratext was an integrated commemorative industry whose output split between media according to the construction cycle, and each corpus can date gaps in the other.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Computing per-half-century rates of shared formulas and half-lines between DBBE and the corpus of Byzantine epigrams in inscriptional transmission, the sharing rate peaks in the same bins as documented church-building activity (Komnenian and early Palaiologan booms). Primary clause: co-timing of the sharing peaks with the construction peaks; the verdict follows it.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
DBBE joined to Rhoby's published corpus Byzantinische Epigramme in inschriftlicher Überlieferung (stone, frescoes, icons, minor objects).
In the kill-dataset registry:
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture is linked to the following pages on Inferpedia, an encyclopedia of the missing — working atlas pages, some still early scaffolding.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated blind by claude-fable-5 in a single Write from the inline prompt and existing-title list only, with no file reads, web access, or database queries.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
Rhoby has explicitly studied the symbiosis between inscriptional epigrams (BEIÜ corpus) and book epigrams, including shared verses and formulas across media and the same professional poets serving both, anticipating the shared-workforce mechanism; the half-century sharing-rate series co-timed with construction booms is un-run.
Predictions
No prediction registered yet.
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