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Lectionaries count the altars
Status is derived only from the shepherd-authored triage/prediction data above -- community submissions and claims are a separate overlay and can never change it (see the participation panel below).
“Anticipated in print” means the direction of this claim already appears in scholarship, while this exact test has never been run — it records prior art, not proof; nothing here counts as supported or falsified until a registered resolution says so.
Claim (verbatim)
Greek Gospels survive in two forms: the continuous text, which anyone might own, and the lectionary, rearranged for reading at services — altar equipment that only a functioning church needs. This conjecture says the ratio between them is a census: the lectionary share among newly produced Gospel manuscripts per generation tracks the intensity of church and monastery founding, documented independently in surviving foundation charters and typika. Founders had to equip altars at foundation, in a lump; private continuous Gospels accumulated smoothly. If it holds, a simple format ratio inside the best-attested textual tradition on earth becomes a demographic instrument for institutional church growth.
Prediction clause (verbatim)
Per-half-century lectionary share among new Greek Gospel manuscripts co-moves with counts of dated monastic foundation documents, peaking in the same bins; the correlation across bins is positive and significant. Primary clause: the co-movement of lectionary share with foundation counts; the verdict follows it.
Kill-dataset (verbatim)
Pinakes (with the Gospel witness census) joined to the Byzantine Monastic Foundation Documents corpus (Dumbarton Oaks, online) and dated typika.
In the kill-dataset registry:
Nobody has run this test. The kill-data is named above. If you can run it — or you know the paper that already settles it — claim the kill or submit the prior scholarship. Kills and prior scholarship are credited here, by name, as they come in.
On Inferpedia
This conjecture is linked to the following pages on Inferpedia, an encyclopedia of the missing — working atlas pages, some still early scaffolding.
Provenance
Run: Fresh agent generation · model: claude-fable-5
Generated blind by claude-fable-5 in a single Write from the inline prompt and existing-title list only, with no file reads, web access, or database queries.
Novelty / leakage triage
anticipated in the literature — this exact test has never been run
Lectionaries' status as altar equipment tied to functioning liturgical institutions, and gross counts of lectionary versus continuous-text Gospels (~2,450 vs ~2,930), are standard in New Testament manuscript studies; using the per-generation format ratio as a demographic instrument tracked against dated foundation documents is un-run.
Sources cited by the triage
- 'Greek Lectionaries: An Introduction' (Evangelical Textual Criticism, with Kurzgefasste Liste counts)
- Byzantine Monastic Foundation Documents (Dumbarton Oaks)
Predictions
No prediction registered yet.
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